Who will be the next leader of the Liberal Party of Australia?

1.3kṀ14k

2029

Karen Andrews

Angus Taylor

Dan Tehan

99.4%

Sussan Ley

0.1%

Josh Frydenberg

Jacinta Nampijinpa Price

0.1%

David Littleproud

0.1%

Andrew Hastie

0.1%

Alex Hawke

0.2%

Other

The Liberal leader has historically been a serving member of the House of Representatives.

This market will only resolve to named individual people.

This market will not resolve to an acting leader, unless they become the permanent leader.

If no change of leadership occurs by the closing date, it will be extended.

Politics

Australian Politics

Australia

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bought Ṁ3,422 YES

Can resolve to Sussan Ley:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-13/liberal-party-new-leader-sussan-ley/105285148

https://manifold.markets/GamblingGamer/if-adam-bandt-loses-his-seat-who-wi?r=R2FtYmxpbmdHYW1lcg

sold Ṁ4 YES

I believe a number of people have been added and as a result the "other" option has collapsed. This seems like a bad system, no?

@Deceptive_Stroke you get shares in the new options so you don't lose equity just because someone adds an option - your equity is conserved

Price is a first-term senator who sits with the Nationals. An eventual deputy position - maybe? The next Liberal leader? Probably not.

@CU There is definitely an enthusiasm to elevate her within the Coalition. If Dutton lasts at least until the next election, and Price contests and wins a seat in the lower house... well, the Liberals don't exactly have an abundance of good leadership candidates... but a lot has to go right, I admit.