Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market creator judges that "shit hits the fan" in the USA by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. This judgment will be based on whether a severe, widely recognized, and impactful crisis or series of negative events has occurred in the United States that significantly disrupts societal norms or stability. Examples of such events include civil unrest or significant economic trouble. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The market creator may consult public discourse and major news media for guidance in their determination.

Background

The phrase "shit hits the fan" is an idiom describing a moment when a situation suddenly and severely goes wrong, leading to chaos, trouble, or the widespread exposure of a problematic situation. In the context of the USA by EOY (End of Year), this implies a significant negative development affecting the country.

Considerations

This market is highly subjective, and the interpretation of "shit hits the fan" may vary significantly among traders. Resolution will ultimately depend on the market creator's judgment, informed by their assessment of widespread perception and major events.

I will not trade in this market.