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MANIFOLD
Will the Israeli Hamas war expand to include Hezbollah before March 30, 2024?
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resolved Mar 30
Resolved
NO

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predictedYES

Will resolve Yes if either NYTimes or WSJ have story that confirms that IDF is fighing a war on two fronts with Hamas in Gaza and Hezbolllah in Lebanon. So far it's just skirmishing.

@Bruce54df By when? March 30?

predictedYES

@nathanwei Yes, before March 30.

@Bruce54df wait you're only resolving to these two publications?

@shankypanky i can't really imagine them going to war and those two not reporting it

@SemioticRivalry yeah I mean that's fair but they're both behind a paywall and I was just surprised it's such a narrow and specific list

@shankypanky IMHO, those two papers are the newspapers of record in the US.

Could you set some resolution criteria for this market? I would participate if there were concrete criteria for what makes it resolve YES.