Will Iran engage in significant attack on Israel to avenge death of Rev Guard General? (Expires 6pm EDT April 15, 2024)
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resolved Apr 13
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YES

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@Bruce54df Does this resolve Yes due to the drone launches or do they need to do some specific amount of damage/killing?

@Panfilo The drones and missiles have launched but they need to enter Israeli airspace. Should resolve soon.

Proxy response market

"Iranian Attack Expected on Israel in Next Two Days"-- Wall St. Journal on April 12, 2024

Why waste time say lot word when few word do trick?

The C.I.A is almost certainly correct, the question is whether they will delay the attack until after the given date. I think yes but not by nine days.

Must this be from Iran proper, or would Iranian proxies (like Hezbollah in Lebanon), count?

@mattyb Attack can be from proxies.

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