MANIFOLD
Will there be a startup with zero human employees in 2026?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ519
Dec 31
39%
chance

E.g. a startup with an OpenClaw CEO

Definition of "zero human employee startup" for the purposes of this market:

  1. Receives angel/VC investment of at least $10K USD or equivalent in another (crypto)currency, or bootstraps itself to $10K+ USD by doing immediately-profitable work

  2. Engages in economically-useful work, validated by either:

    1. Appreciation from humans (who are not sockpuppets)

    2. Profiting from selling products and/or services to other AIs

    3. Profiting from trading

  3. Has an AI "CEO", and zero or more subagents

  4. Does not simply delegate all tasks to humans, either during bootstrapping or growth phases (although it may delegate some tasks to independent human contractors)

Market context
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