Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027? | Manifold

Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?

11

170Ṁ1629

2027

40%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves based off of the outcome of the following two markets:

This resolves YES if the first resolves NO and the second resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.

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Related questions

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

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Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?

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