Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?
11
170Ṁ16292027
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based off of the outcome of the following two markets:
This resolves YES if the first resolves NO and the second resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
43% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will an AI publicly accessible before IMO 2025 get the gold medal on it?
12% chance
Will an AI get gold at the IMO? (no time restrain)
70% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
20% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
14% chance
AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?
52% chance
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
69% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
74% chance