Which of these 8 famous folks will create a market?
Basic
12
Ṁ2531resolved Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESAnders Sandberg
Resolved
YESDylan Matthews
Resolved
NOWilliam MacAskill
Resolved
NOVitalik Buterin
Resolved
NORobin Hanson
Resolved
NOBryan Caplan
Resolved
NOHolden Karnofsky
Resolved
NONoah Smith
Famous folks are:
Robin Hanson
Bryan Caplan
Anders Sandberg
William MacAskill
Dylan Matthews
Holden Karnofsky
Noah Smith
Vitalik Buterin
As taken from the Manifold Adoption group.
This market is quasi-duplicate of /Manifold/will-2-or-more-of-these-8-famous-fo . Updte for clarity - The time period that this market covers is meant to be the same as that market, apparently the 2023 calendar year.
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@BoltonBailey Ok, I managrammed the people who traded their money back. Apparently it's possible to resolve one market so I used that ability to resolve the Dylan Matthews market.
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