If 538 and Nate Silver both release 2024 presidential election models, will Silver be more uncertain?
19
130Ṁ633resolved Nov 5
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This resolves N/A unless both 538 and Nate Silver release models predicting explicit probabilities who will be elected president in 2024. If both do, this resolves YES if, on the day before the election, Silver's model assigns a lower percentage to the most favored candidate than the 538 model.
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