By the end of 2023 will it be possible to undo an incorrect market resolution?
7
192
170
resolved Apr 6
Resolved
YES

I know this has been asked before but I'm asking again. I mis-resolved a market recently and it was a sad and frustrating experience. Will Manifold fix it?

(

BTW Here's the misresolved market. Advice if you want to avoid making the same mistake as I did:

1- Negative resolution criteria like "fewer than" will confuse you, making mistakes more likely.

2- Usually betters have a good sense how a market should resolve. If it's close to 100% you should probably resolve YES; close to 0%, NO.

3- Don't play on Manifold when you are sleepy or otherwise impaired.

https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-this-market-have-fewer-than-10-5e4d5ca61b38

)

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Admin Resolved

predicted YES

@Boklam resolve please?

sold Ṁ100 of YES

Yes, this is possible, resolve?

Don’t drink and resolve

bought Ṁ10 of YES

It is possible, just tell an admin that you mis-resolved a market and want to fix it. The cutoff date is Feb 6th 2023, so every market that was resolved later than that can be re-resolved.

related market:

A slight variant of this question that hopefully is more unambiguous:

I think this would destroy their database in ways that are non-trivial. It’s the same reason you can’t delete or edit comments if I have followed Discord conversations correctly.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@BTE I’m not sure how they’re doing things on a tech side, but one solution could be the same way that you can quote undo“ sending Gmail emails, where, after you submit, a resolution, there is a certain leg time before all the changes are actually employed.

Perhaps there could be some smart rules that safeguard when to do this, for example, markets that have over X number of traders or X amount of mana, or where you are resolving opposite of the closing market might trigger delays where traders would get to see what the resolution is scheduled to be, and have the opportunity to contest it if they think it is wrong. If no one contests it during that window, it resolves automatically. If it is contested, than the market creator has to reconfirm the resolution.

predicted YES

*“Undo”

*”lag”

This market should resolve NO in June.

@ScottLawrence Huh? Why would this resolve in June?

@ScottLawrence Great idea!! Put pressure on the man!!

@Boklam well, the date doesn't matter I guess. But it should resolve NO before it resolves YES