I know this has been asked before but I'm asking again. I mis-resolved a market recently and it was a sad and frustrating experience. Will Manifold fix it?
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BTW Here's the misresolved market. Advice if you want to avoid making the same mistake as I did:
1- Negative resolution criteria like "fewer than" will confuse you, making mistakes more likely.
2- Usually betters have a good sense how a market should resolve. If it's close to 100% you should probably resolve YES; close to 0%, NO.
3- Don't play on Manifold when you are sleepy or otherwise impaired.
https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-this-market-have-fewer-than-10-5e4d5ca61b38
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ44 | |
| 2 | Ṁ43 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
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@BTE I’m not sure how they’re doing things on a tech side, but one solution could be the same way that you can quote undo“ sending Gmail emails, where, after you submit, a resolution, there is a certain leg time before all the changes are actually employed.
Perhaps there could be some smart rules that safeguard when to do this, for example, markets that have over X number of traders or X amount of mana, or where you are resolving opposite of the closing market might trigger delays where traders would get to see what the resolution is scheduled to be, and have the opportunity to contest it if they think it is wrong. If no one contests it during that window, it resolves automatically. If it is contested, than the market creator has to reconfirm the resolution.