Will it be possible for AI to generate reasonably good video ads by (start of) 2024?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2024?
Will a text prompt based AI music generator that most of the time cannot be told apart from human musicians be publicly available by the end of 2023?
Instant deepfakes of anyone by the end of 2027?
Will I spend over $50 on AI music generation in 2023?
By 2024 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Based on Vincent Luczkow's 2029 market)
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Will an AI art generator be trained that uses only public domain and Creative Commons images by the end of 2023?
Will any AI model generate image of correct QWERTY keyboard consistently, to a prompt, by the end of 2024? ($1000M sub)
Instant deepfakes of anyone before the end of 2024?
Will there be a social media with >10k users that is based around users interacting mainly with AI profiles with AI generated content by the end of 2023?
Will character.ai be sued by at least one celebrity for using their personality by the end of 2023?
Will a podcast with an AI system get >= 1 million listens/views by the end of 2023
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2023?
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?
Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?
Will a mostly AI channel reach the top 100 ranking on twitchtracker.com in 2023?
Will a version of Alexa using generative AI be released to the public before 2024
Will AI be able to generate an interactive web front-end by the end of 2024?