Will a 10B parameter multimodal RL model be trained by Deepmind in the next 12 months?
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resolved Oct 13
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NO

Taken from the first prediction in the State of AI Report.

  1. A 10B parameter multimodal RL model is trained by DeepMind, an order of magnitude larger than Gato.

This question will be resolved based on the resolution of the 2023 report.

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predicted YES

Should resolve no per the report

The description is a bit misleading, since Gato is not even a classical RL model, it just does similar tasks using transformers. Anyways, we will have to see the report, but I believe this will resolve positively because RT2 meets those criteria