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MANIFOLD
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
92
Ṁ1kṀ25k
resolved Jul 10
Resolved
YES

Resolves Yes if he drops out of the primary or national race

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I will definitely take a penny of "Graham Platner is such a narcissist that he doesn't actually pull out." He is the absolute picture of a guy you can't rely on to see past himself.

sold Ṁ264 YES

I think this should wait until he officially withdraws on Monday, lol. Probably shouldn't resolve quite yet, since this market's criteria don't specify announcement.

@bens drop out should mean suspends campaigning

@Jack1 I think it’s fair to say Janet mills dropped out of the primary even though she didn’t technically withdraw

@Jack1 I mean, he hasn't officially dropped out of the race yet. I think it's a little different if he keeps his name on the ballot after being nominated than if he's losing in the primary and pulls out. And to be fair, I'm not sure Mills would qualify by these criteria either?

@bens but one distinction here is that Mills dropped out before being nominated, so there was no official process of doing so, whereas here there indeed exists this formal process by which one can withdraw after being nominated (which he has said he will do Monday)

@bens Every single news organization is using the term "drop out". I'm going by that. For all intensive purposes he did.

I understand he technically may not have removed his name from the ballot yet, but that's just paperwork at this point.

@BillClintonBubba If he doesn’t file the paperwork on Monday will you reopen the question?

@BillClintonBubba Most likely just paperwork, but he could change his mind.

resolves yes

@traders Here is a related market:

bought Ṁ2 NO

Platner about to pivot to trumpism and campaign on being cancelled.

I Don’t think he’ll drop out

@Jack1 sure bro

Bill, you better not be trolling with this title. I'll have to keep an eye on things around here.

@Eliza Only funny business is in the oval office

@Eliza Thank you for the boost!

Graham *