If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
6
Ṁ540Ṁ1662029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
35%
Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises
32%
Venezuela
26%
6%
Haiti
Related to the market: Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?
The resolution criteria is the same as the above mentioned market: only wild poliovirus count, and only cases that lead to local transmission count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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