If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
3
100
Ṁ110Ṁ540
2029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Venezuela
28%
13%
Haiti
3%
Brazil
1.7%
Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises
Related to the market: Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?
The resolution criteria is the same as the above mentioned market: only wild poliovirus count, and only cases that lead to local transmission count.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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