Will a new record be set for the number of people in space by the end of 1st September?

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Reason for betting NO down so far here:

New Shepard 26 scheduled to launch on August 29

Polaris Dawn scheduled to launch no sooner than August 30

So New Shepard 26 would have to be delayed somehow. Even if they end up launching on the same day, New Shepard 26 would only spend a couple minutes at most above the Karman line. So it would likely have to launch with Polaris Dawn already in space, which is another factor to add to the equation.

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