
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
62
1kṀ50632030
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As determined by https://www.howmanypeopleareinspacerightnow.com/ or another reliable source.
The record as of market creation is 19 people in space at once.
If case of ambiguity, "in space" means above the Kármán line. There's no requirement that they be in orbit.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many people will be in space on 1 January 2030?
18
Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040?
28% chance
Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
30% chance
How many people will be in space at the start of 2027?
12.7
How many people will be in space at the start of 2026?
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
30% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on the moon in 2063?
50% chance
When will be the first day that 100 or more humans are in space?
2036
Will Elon Musk be in the space before 2030?
13% chance
At least 100 humans die in space through 2034
6% chance