If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

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resolved Jul 17

Resolved as

92%

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

Otherwise resolves PROB.

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

Trump indictment(s)

Trump disqualified from running

2024 Republican Primaries

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Wait, hold on, how did we resolve this to 92%? I'm genuinely confused.

"Otherwise resolves PROB." (Instead of N/A)

Could do something similar for Biden.

If the Democratic nominee is not Joe Biden is it because

health reasons
political reasons

@ChinmayTheMathGuy Great idea, thanks!

@ChinmayTheMathGuy https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-joe-biden-isnt-the-presidential?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

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