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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9
3
Ṁ300Ṁ303
Dec 31
23%
Estuardo Mazariegos
68%
Jose Ugarte
0.6%
Jorge Nuno
0.9%
Adriana Cabrera
1%
Martha Sánchez
1.1%
Elmer Roldan
1.3%
Michelle Washington
1.4%
Jorge Hernandez Rosas
1.6%
Chris Martin
1.6%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for District 9. If the election is not held, the market resolves N/A. In the unlikely event of redistricting between now and the election, this market will follow District 9 even if the number of seats changes.

Background

As of May 2025, Estuardo Mazariegos, a community organizer, has declared his candidacy for the District 9 seat. (en.wikipedia.org) The incumbent, Curren Price, has represented District 9 since 2013. (en.wikipedia.org) District 9 encompasses parts of South Los Angeles, including neighborhoods such as Florence, South Park, and Green Meadows, and notable landmarks like the University of Southern California and Exposition Park. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • Candidate Filings: Additional candidates may enter the race as the election approaches. Monitoring official announcements and filings will provide the most current information.

  • Election Dynamics: District 9 has a diverse demographic composition, which can influence election outcomes. Voter turnout and engagement in this district have historically impacted election results.

Market context
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