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MANIFOLD
xAI 2026 revenue
4
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k
resolved Apr 24
ResolvedN/A
67%
<5B
11%
5B - 10B
3%
10B - 15B
3%
15B - 20B
3%
20B - 25B
3%
25B - 30B
2%
30B - 35B
2%
35B - 40B
2%
40B - 45B
3%Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Left-inclusive.

See also:

/Bayesian/xai-2026-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/xai-2026-revenue (this market)

/Bayesian/xai-2027-revenue

/Bayesian/xai-2028-revenue

/Bayesian/openai-revenue-in-2026

/Bayesian/anthropic-revenue-in-2026

  • Update 2026-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If xAI merges with SpaceX, this market will resolve N/A rather than attempting to isolate xAI-specific revenue from the combined entity.

Market context
AI
Technical AI Timelines
XAI
Revenue
2026
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@Bayesian how will this resolve given the SpaceX merger? is it the revenue of the combined firm or will you try to get revenue just for the part that was called xAI?

@2b3o4o i’ll resolve N/A

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