Each answer contains a dilemma: Would you rather pick the first option (NO) or the second option (YES)? Bet NO, or YES, according to your opinion. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so having more shares does not make your vote count for more.
Every week, the market will close.
If an answer has a clear majority of YES holders, that answer will resolve YES.
If an answer has a clear majority of NO holders, that answer will resolve NO.
If it's very close, and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved.
The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as the market is worth running.
It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding positions are also counted.
Some guidlines:
I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.
I may update these exact criteria to better match the spirit of the question if anyone has good suggestions, so please leave a comment (and ping me) if you do.
See also:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ699 | |
| 2 | Ṁ663 | |
| 3 | Ṁ417 | |
| 4 | Ṁ184 | |
| 5 | Ṁ179 |