Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?

Question

Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.

[image]But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.

Will two centabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?

Centabillionaires are people whose networth is above 100 billion dollars. Their net worth will be considered at the time of the fight.

See also:

@/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public 
@/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5 
@/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca

@/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu

@/Bayesian/will-two-centabillionaires-have-a-p (This one)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (13 traders, as of Aug 4, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions