Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
12
1kṀ5472030
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two centabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?
Centabillionaires are people whose networth is above 100 billion dollars. Their net worth will be considered at the time of the fight.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?
55% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
64% chance
Will any decabillionaire be murdered before 2026?
3% chance
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen in 2025?
1% chance
Will Elon Musk challenge someone to a physical fight before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk challenges Jeff Bezos, Tim Cook, Sundar Pichai, OR Jensen Huang to a fight before end of 2025?
4% chance
Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
18% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
78% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance