Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?
44
1kṀ16k
2030
7%
chance

See also:

/Bayesian/will-the-dems-control-all-3-branche
/Bayesian/will-republicans-control-all-3-bran

  • Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • For the Supreme Court, control is defined as having a majority of judges who are Democratic appointees.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy