Will my AI system dominate Astra and ProofCouncil? | Manifold

Will my AI system dominate Astra and ProofCouncil?

2

Ṁ1kṀ61

Oct 21

53%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

At api cost, will my AI’s accuracy be better than both Astra’s at its api cost and proof council at its api cost? Resolves Yes if so, No otherwise

Update 2026-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's AI system will use GPT 6.1 sol ultra xhigh with 4 subagents.

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

I will be using gpt 6.1 sol ultra xhigh with 4 subagents.

People are also trading

Will AIs beat human experts in question-answering on the GPQA benchmark before January 1st, 2027?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?

Will AI break crypto?

Will AI beat top human players at Civ6 (without cheating) by EOY 2026?

Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?

Will one AI lab pull ahead before 2028?

Conditional on AI alignment being solved, will governments or other entities be capable of enforcing use of aligned AIs?

Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True?

Related questions

Will AIs beat human experts in question-answering on the GPQA benchmark before January 1st, 2027?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?

Will AI break crypto?

Will AI beat top human players at Civ6 (without cheating) by EOY 2026?

Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?

Will one AI lab pull ahead before 2028?

Conditional on AI alignment being solved, will governments or other entities be capable of enforcing use of aligned AIs?

Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True?