Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I solve an unsolved math problem with AI in September?
5
Ṁ1kṀ411
Sep 30
10%
chance

Should be a top 10 math problem of its math subfield, so nothing crazy but several mathematicians care about it and have tried solving it.

I have started a project to see how doable this is at scale, may drop it if it doesn’t go anywhere. Tips welcome.

By ‘solve’ I don't have a too airtight definition, but it would definitely count if a Lean statement was proven without exploiting bugs in the lean kernel for example, as would an involved expert mathematician signing off on it. Edge cases like AIs all agreeing the solution is clearly correct, and nobody managing to find errors, would lead to the market staying closed pre-resolution to give the math community time to find errors, but I may ultimately count it without strong guarantees if it seems very likely to be correct.

A problem still counts if it's a solve that shows the problem wasn't interesting after all, or similar cope

For the purpose of this market there are roughly 300-500 math "subfields", yielding around 4000 open problems that, if solved, would resolve this market positively.

Last month's market resolved NO:

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Can you solve P vs NP and make it so P=NP? Thx for your attention to this matter