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MANIFOLD
When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.?
6
Ṁ175Ṁ148
Jan 1
November 16, 2026
17%
Oct 10-17, 2026
22%
Oct 18-31, 2026
17%
Nov 1-15, 2026
14%
Nov 16-30, 2026
10%
December 2026
19%
Not in 2026

@Bayesian resolved /Bayesian/will-i-solve-an-unsolved-math-probl-5ZR0n0LOlE on Sept. 25, 2026 (earning himself Ṁ19,822) but has not yet revealed what problem(s) he solved. This market will resolve based on the day he names at least one problem he solved in a comment on that market. If we reach Jan 1, 2027 without an answer, it will resolve "Not in 2026."

Zvi's house rules apply: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ge3Jf5Hnon8wq4xqT/zvi-s-manifold-markets-house-rules

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