Resolves to the user with the fewest wrong guesses for predictles from Thursday January 8 (predictle #3) to Wednesday January 14 (predictle #9), inclusive. Not completing a day counts as 4 wrong guesses.
I may remove players from the competition at my own discretion, especially if they break the rules
Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4
sums (day 7, predictle #9):
@Ziddletwix : 2 + 0 + 0 + 1 + 0 + 1 + 1 = 5
@Sketchy : 0 + 1 + 0 + 1 + 0 + 2 + 1 = 5
@spiderduckpig : 0 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 6
@Bayesian : 2 + 2 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 1 + 1 = 6
@bens : 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 0 = 7
@JussiVilleHeiskanen : 2 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 0 + 0 = 7
@vi : 1 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8
@Kfredric : 1 + 1 + 0 + 2 + 2 + 1 + 1 = 8
@BenAybar : 1 + 0 + 0 + 1 + 3 + 3 + 1 = 9
@jonathan : 1 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 2 = 9
@MarySmith : 0 + 2 + 2 + 1 + 2 + 2 + 3 = 12
@root : 4 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 3 = 13
@Hakari : 1 + 3 + 1 + 1 + 3 + 2 + 2 = 13
@No_uh : 4 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 2 + 3 = 14
@MRME : 2 + 1 + 4 + 1 + 4 + 2 + 2 = 16
@1bets : ?
Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as cheating: If one of the Predictle questions is about a market you created, having better understanding of the likely market price when playing Predictle is allowed and does not count as cheating.
1,000People are also trading
@traders the sudden death battle will pit @Sketchy against @Ziddletwix in a showdown for the ages! more detail to come.
Guessing bayesian was too lazy too scroll down far enough to find days 6 and 7 for me they are both 2 https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-manifold-user-is-the-predictl#xw3yybpywmi
For a total of 8.
@traders the sudden death battle will pit @Sketchy against @Ziddletwix in a showdown for the ages! more detail to come.
Predictle #4
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Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=MWJldHM
2 attempts - day 1. 1 attempt day 2. attempts day 3..
How the winners are decided
@1bets Predictle #5
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Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=MWJldHM
Predictle #6
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Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=MWJldHM
@1bets Predictle #8
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Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=MWJldHM
this one:
> Predictle #3
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Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=TXlEcmVhbUlzSGVyZTIwMTg
echo "TXlEcmVhbUlzSGVyZTIwMTg" | base64 -doutput: MyDreamIsHere2018
@Bayesian possibly I don't have the link from 3rd day... was 2 attempts on day 2.
Ok. Thank summ is 10
Splitting resolution is lame, I think we need to find a fun and dramatic way to settle this. @Bayesian any takes?
@Sketchy I did arbitrage trading on the top one recently so I remembered that one, and I saw the probability of the third yesterday, so I got a good handle for most of them immediately. But my consistency was my downfall at the end of the day
i think that decides the winners
No “winners”. No shared glory. This market resolves to 100% or 0%
The first one I get right first try:
Predictle #9
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