GPT-6 released in 2026?
4
1kṀ286
2026
40%
chance

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI publicly announces the release of a model explicitly named GPT-6 during the calendar year of 2026

A release is defined as:

  • A public launch or general availability announcement of a model explicitly named GPT-6 by OpenAI.

  • Availability of the model via API, ChatGPT, or any other official OpenAI product or platform.

If OpenAI releases a model under a different name (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-Next, or any unnamed model), this market will not resolve to “Yes” unless the model is clearly and officially identified by OpenAI as GPT-6.

Previews, demos, leaks, research papers, or internal/private access without an official public release do not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be OpenAI’s official blog, press releases, or verified social media accounts. If needed, a consensus of credible reporting from major news or technology media may be used for confirmation.

If no qualifying release is announced during 2026, the market will resolve to “No”.

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