US Strikes Iran by end of April?
62
1kṀ14k
May 1
24%
chance

Resolves Yes if there is a direct US military attack on Iranian soil before May.

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Ṁ1,000
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sold Ṁ600 YES

@Dynd what do you know that I don’t 💀

@NeoMalthusian nvm I’m feeling the vibes

Hello

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 15% order

@NeoMalthusian This is formulated as if the US had already attacked Iran, but they haven't. It's just a warning in case that they will.

bought Ṁ100 NO

ah you didn't need to N/A, an April market could have been good too... but imo the odds of this are low enough that the May market made more sense since I didn't want people betting on whether this would happen on April 30th or May 1st or whatever

@bens Ah i misread ur market. Ill un-N/A lol

bought Ṁ100 NO

Woops looks like ben s beat me to it

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