In December 2024, OpenAI announced that o3 achieved a score of 2727 on codeforces.com. What will be the best score achieved by an AI model at the end of 2025?
This will resolve to reliable sources (ie sources that seem to not be lying) even if it's an announcement where the model that achieved this score is not publicly available.
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Also this question should at least be somewhat constrained by compute. The o3 rating was done by ranking 1062 prompts and also with 10 passes.
So yes with infinite compute I don't doubt it can achieve 4k but that's not the point of the question imo. If you took 1000 humans they could also achieve 5000+ rating.
@Bayesian The top 100 for sure. Getting high ratin in codeforces is only about consistently beating everyone.
@patrik Sorry i typoed i meant to write 1000 humans. And yeah i thought u were selecting at random 1000 humans. I agree