Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard 2024 Megamarket
Basic
11
Ṁ3514
Jan 1
77%
Winner of Masters League for a month isn't in the top 20
10%
There are 3+ bots in the Top 20
Resolved
YES
The leaderboard is expanded beyond the top 20 traders
Resolved
YES
Whalebait/unlisted/unranked market profit gets removed from the leaderboard
Resolved
YES
@Joshua will get to 1st place
Resolved
YES
#20 has more than 300,000M in profits
Resolved
YES
#1 has 2,000,000M in profits
Resolved
YES
#10 has over 1,000,000M profits
Resolved
YES
firstuserhere reaches 1.5M profit
Resolved
YES
Someone whose account was created in 2024 gets into the Top 20
Resolved
YES
The leaderboard page has different leaderboards (other than top traders, top creators and top referrers)
Resolved
YES
@Bayesian gets into the top 20 at some point

https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

Unless specified, an option resolves YES if the criterion is met at any time before the end of 2024. Doesn't count bugs or exploits

I'll fund anyone's first 2 answers they submit (remind me if I forget)

See also:
/AmmonLam/manifold-top-traders-leaderboard-ra by @AmmonLam

/Bayesian/manifold-top-creators-leaderboard-2
/Bayesian/manifold-top-referrers-leaderboard

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Ṁ1,000
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The leaderboard page has different leaderboards (other than top traders, top creators and top referrers)
bought Ṁ100 The leaderboard page... YES
The leaderboard is expanded beyond the top 20 traders

@nikki resolves YES @Bayesian

Someone whose account was created in 2024 gets into the Top 20
bought Ṁ225 Someone whose accoun... YES
bought Ṁ25 firstuserhere reache... YES

@Bayesian then there are a bunch in here that resolve YES assuming the current displayed leaderboards counting (i.e. with the profit recalcululation). i can tag 'em, but figure I should ask first before betting them up if you plan to somehow ignore that or N/A or etc.

bought Ṁ20 Someone whose accoun... NO

Since this is explicitly about the leaderboard rather than profits in general it seems natural to me that the leaderboard profits are what counts. I could also N/A if people think that is unfair.

Whalebait/unlisted/unranked market profit gets removed from the leaderboard

@Bayesian resolves YES

@Joshua will get to 1st place
bought Ṁ245 @Joshua will get to ... YES

@Bayesian resolves YES

The list as it is now, for comparison if there are any sudden shifts.

firstuserhere reaches 1.5M profit
bought Ṁ20 firstuserhere reache... YES

This is not a bug or exploit, it's intended behaviour

bought Ṁ50 Whalebait/unlisted/u... YES

@Bayesian So about the exchange rate...

@Joshua I think the exchange rate counts but if someone got to some position during the transition but left it once it settled it doesnt count? Not a strong opinion, open to disagreement

@Bayesian Hmm actually kinda a weird situation bc people’s profit on the lb != their profit outside of it?

@Bayesian The transition has definitely had a lot of bugs in it yeah. And it was happening to users one by one. So if you were in the top 20 for five minutes during the recalc, that probably doesn't count right?

But Ian think sit's now complete aside from banned users still being there.

@Joshua Yeah, exactly, transition doesn’t count

bought Ṁ50 Someone whose accoun... YES

lawlor is Jan 14 2024,

@bayesian you should probably specify lawlor doesn't count as it's not a real acct.

Doesn't count temporary bugs or exploits

Added this

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