
Is Emmett Shear more concerned about x-risk than Sam Altman?
12
170Ṁ523resolved Feb 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the result of a poll I'll post on manifold when the market closes (jan 25 2025). YES for Emmett Shear, NO for Sam Altman, 50% for "equally concerned".
The market's prompted by a twitter interaction that surprised me:

https://x.com/eshear/status/1750040368719319482?s=20
More details:
The poll question will be "Emmett Shear VS Sam Altman: Who is more concerned about x-risk?". The plan is 4 options, but since this is a year away I'm flexible to slight adjustments to the poll as long as it doesn't change the poll outcome:
- Sam Altman more concerned
- Emmett Shear more concerned
- Equally concerned
- See results
Resolves to the option with the most votes (excluding the last option).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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