Has the world been net-positive so far? Resolves to Poll in EOY 2024
Basic
7
Ṁ171Jan 1
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The poll will probably just ask the question, YES or NO, and have a description like "Interpret the question in any way you find sensible."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will this question lean towards NO by the end of 2024?
49% chance
What will have been the most important thing to happen in 2024? [Resolves to poll, subsidized]
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?
7% chance
By 2028, will I think Anthropic has been net-good for the world?
60% chance
Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?
61% chance
Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?
17% chance
By 2028, will I think Conjecture has been net-good for the world?
64% chance
🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
What WON'T happen by EoY 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
5% chance