EV market share in 2030? | Manifold

EV market share in 2030?

Plus

16

Ṁ596

2030

32

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As a percentage.

Resolves according to https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates.

Market inspired from Kalshi's market which has much larger % buckets, and doesn't have numeric (kalshi skill issue): https://kalshi.com/markets/evshare/ev-market-share

100-104... will.. not resolve yes. Unless non-ev cars make up 0% of the market somehow. idk.

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#️ Technology

#Electric Vehicles

#Sustainability

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bought Ṁ0 4-8 YES

LeRaffl's model in Oct 2024 shows US heading for 30% BEV in Jan 2030

Are you including hybrid electric

@chris electric light-duty vehicles, per the link in the description

@Bayesian the link references HEV too which is why I ask

bought Ṁ0 16-20 YES

Global version:

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