Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
8
1.4kṀ6824Dec 31
0.7%
150
0.7%
151
0.8%
152
0.9%
153
7%
154
3%
155
3%
156
3%
157
4%
158
5%
159
6%
160
6%
161
7%
162
50%
https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci
Currently, the top score is GPT-5-Medium with 150.
In fact, the benchmark is normalized so that
claude-3-5-sonnet-20240620 has score 130
gpt-5-2025-08-07_medium has score 150
If this doesn't remain the case, this market will resolve N/A.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to the highest ECI for a model released before May 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score
167.6
Highest Epoch-acknowledged FrontierMath score at EOY2026?
61.5
Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
38% chance
Best clockbench EOY 2025?
What will be the best performance on EnigmaEval by December 31st 2025?
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Will 1-month exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) of ethereum by higher at EOY2025 than EOY2024?
50% chance
Fear and Greed Index on 1 Jan 2026?
52.1