Google Energy Zero Ultra

they just named their new subscription "Ultra", and they are building new tools on top of 2.5 Pro that make it have the capabilities one would expect from a heavier flavor of a model. Highly doubt that they are doing a 2.5 or 3.0 Ultra.

@256 This seems correct to me, they don't mention any new llms in that blogpost.

here's the link

https://blog.google/products/google-one/google-ai-ultra/

@Bayesian If Anthropics release doesn't include Opus, I'd consider taking you up. We might find out this week

@Bayesian They did release opus, so I took a little profit and will prob not take your limit order...

emotional hedge

They're up to 2.5 in flash and pro and iirc (and my googling serves me right) still don't have an ultra 2.0.

Anthropic no longer releases Opus models. I think the scaling laws are practically somewhat dead[0], and the big players have abandoned the super big model model.

[0] By that I mean a combination of: diminishing returns, distilling working pretty well, financial diminishing returns (e.g. gpt 4.5 ) , scaling laws actually being dead and effectiveness of test time compute

@FergusArgyll I think in a non reasoning regime they d be scaling them more, but with reasoning which u can do more of with smaller models there’s a tradeoff and optimal size to maximize intelligence for a set amt of compute that is smaller than in a scale only world

@CrypticQccZ @draaglom why the buy and sell if you dont mind sharing

@Bayesian i realized i wasn't super convinced by the pixel leak and decided to revert mostly to my base-rate from the more reliable leak i posted earlier (around 90%). so i had to derisk because i have veyr little mana. if i could trade off EV i would have bought more YES

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1kchqb3/gemini_25_ultra_reportedly_available_with_gemini/

This should trade near 100% now

EDIT: maybe this is fake

@CrypticQccZ seems fake

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bard/comments/1kbosc7/potential_gemini_ultra_leak/