Will something happen in Iran this month?
2
Ṁ1kṀ172Mar 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if any of these things happen:
100+ American boots on the ground
100+ American deaths from the war
Iran agrees to an unconditional surrender
A third country bombs Iran
Iran's government falls
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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