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MANIFOLD
Humanoid robot walking around me within a year?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
2027
14%
chance

I remember on a recent podcast, I heard someone say "everyone will realize they're now living in the future when they start seeing robots walking past them in a few more months"

This market resolves YES if I'm walking around and a humanoid robot casually crosses my path. Little sweeper robots are not enough, nor are the slightly more human looking ones at sushi restaurants

I will not purposely seek one out, and I will not bet on this market

  • Update 2026-04-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator does travel and plans to visit Las Vegas and other Tier 1 cities within the year, increasing the chances of encountering a humanoid robot.

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Notes: I do travel. I plan on going to Vegas within the year and a few other T1 cities.