Will Logan Paul call off his engagement with his fiancé Nina Agdal by end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Logan Paul call off his engagement with his fiancé Nina Agdal by end of 2024?

205

closes 2024

35%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ500 play money

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I will send M100 to every new user who creates a market about Logan Paul in the Logan Paul group. Ping me by tagging me in the comments (@gen) when you have done it

Also.. go check out other markets there!

Genzypredicts YES

Logan seeing this market >50%

Genzypredicts YES

For anyone interested... More markets about Logan Paul in the logan paul group.

Genzypredicts YES

Edit: BTE has done it! (message deleted)

Thanks for the awesome market!

Jamiebought Ṁ10 of NO

If someone has a bunch of their time to spend reading trashy gossip mags or Wikipedia, I'd love to see the base rates on highly-marketed celebrity breakups

1 reply

@AgenticLondoner I've seen base rates for celebrity divorces - they are surprisingly low (although significantly above population)

Tobias Sowaaed bought Ṁ50 NO from 36% to 35%

Emilio bought Ṁ10 YES from 35% to 36%

vrozgy bought Ṁ2 NO at 35%

Xavier W bought Ṁ10 NO at 35%

or bought Ṁ100 NO from 37% to 35%

vansh bought Ṁ10 NO at 37%

nickten💙💦🐬 created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 50%

Shuf bought Ṁ50 NO from 38% to 37%

Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ22 YES at 38% 🤖

jackson polack bought Ṁ200 NO from 42% to 38%

jackson polack bought Ṁ400 NO from 52% to 42%

Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ22 NO at 52% 🤖

jackson polack bought Ṁ100 NO from 55% to 52%

jackson polack bought Ṁ100 NO from 58% to 55%

jackson polack bought Ṁ100 NO from 61% to 58%

Naman sold Ṁ26 NO from 60% to 61%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 60% 🤖

Naman sold Ṁ823 NO from 43% to 63%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 43% 🤖

Naman sold Ṁ610 NO from 33% to 45%

or bought Ṁ100 NO from 35% to 33%

Daniel Tilkin sold Ṁ82 NO from 33% to 35%

Lion sold Ṁ6 YES from 34% to 33%

John Gilmore sold Ṁ52 YES from 35% to 34%

Crozzz bought Ṁ50 YES from 34% to 35%

jcb bought Ṁ10 NO at 34%

pain bought Ṁ45 NO from 35% to 34%

Sketch bought Ṁ1 YES at 35%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ1 YES at 35%

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ100 NO from 36% to 35%

Shuf bought Ṁ100 NO from 38% to 36%

Kevin Fitch-Jones bought Ṁ10 NO at 38%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ1 YES at 38%

or bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

or bought Ṁ10 NO at 39%

bingeworthy bought Ṁ10 NO at 39%

304 C bought Ṁ75 YES from 37% to 39%

Zachary Klein bought Ṁ100 NO from 39% to 37%

Danny Fram bought Ṁ100 NO from 41% to 39%

Edwin Saji bought Ṁ40 YES from 39% to 41%

or bought Ṁ50 NO from 40% to 39%

Sleeped sold Ṁ115 NO from 38% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ39/Ṁ100 YES at 38% (cancelled) 🤖

S G bought Ṁ100 YES from 33% to 37%

S G bought Ṁ100 YES from 30% to 33%

Bill sold Ṁ6 YES at 30%

Sleeped bought Ṁ100 NO from 32% to 30%

Kaden bought Ṁ40 NO at 32%

Kaumba Chiso bought Ṁ10 YES at 32%

Jeremiah Kellick bought Ṁ50 NO from 33% to 32%

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