1
Will there be another bank run in the US during 2023?
55
closes 2024
23%
chance

Now that 100 percent of deposits EVERYWHERE are fully FDIC insured it seems we may have seen the last run at least in the US?

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NickAllen avatar
Nick Allenis predicting YES at 38%

Pretty sure given that the Fed & Treasury are explicitly not guaranteeing deposits in excess of $250K at smaller banks things are less stable now than we thought they were in Jan.

jack avatar
Jack

To be clear, there is no official policy that all deposits are insured with no limit. That might be the practical policy for the most part, but if that description is incorrect. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/16/svb-signature-bank-failures-yellen-says-us-banking-system-is-stable-and-deposits-remain-safe.html

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting NO at 17%

@jack I was under the impression that they are raising the premiums banks pay to the FDIC to cover all deposits held by a given institution, but you are probably correct that the policy is still officially in the works.

jack avatar
Jack

@BTE Pretty sure that they aren't doing that. They are raising the premiums to meet existing statutory requirements: https://www.fdic.gov/news/press-releases/2022/pr22073a.pdf

I think unlimited coverage would likely be a good thing (with stricter regulations to go along with it), but I haven't heard any indication that there's movement towards that.

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