Will Lloyd Austin resign as Secretary of Defense during 2024?
66
425
แน€980
2025
30%
chance
Austin cancels trip to Brussels for Ukraine meeting due to hospitalization https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/12/austin-brussels-ukraine-00140953
Feb 12
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin released from hospital and resumes duties https://www.axios.com/2024/02/13/lloyd-austin-hospital-released-resumes-duties
Feb 14

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Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin released from hospital and resumes duties

https://www.axios.com/2024/02/13/lloyd-austin-hospital-released-resumes-duties

bought แน€20 YES

Biden should accept his resignation and appoint Lindsey Graham the new secretary. For all of his flaws when it comes to Trump, he is highly qualified and would probably be really good at it.

@SemioticRivalry @BTE added him lol

(not saying this will happen) If he just dies while SecDef, does that count as resigning?

Austin cancels trip to Brussels for Ukraine meeting due to hospitalization

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/12/austin-brussels-ukraine-00140953

Market on who will be the next SecDef, since his departure seems probable:

predicts YES
predicts YES

Austinโ€™s hospital debacle: A timeline of events

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/08/austins-hospital-debacle-pentagon-00134372

We still don't know why he was in the hospital either time.

Related question, please note the shorter timeline:

predicts YES

Apologies, misread the market.

bought แน€50 of YES

Note that there are worlds where even if Austin has full confidence of President, he might resign after the election anyways