The election is January 13,m 2024. Lai is the nominee of the Democratic People's Party (DPP), the party of current incumbent Tsai Ing-wen, and the favorite.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ820 | |
| 2 | Ṁ310 | |
| 3 | Ṁ235 | |
| 4 | Ṁ229 | |
| 5 | Ṁ190 |
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@MaybeNotDepends “Election interference cases have been mostly associated with election gambling, reaching as many as 1,430 cases involving 1,284 people. These cases involve bets placed using emerging cryptocurrencies, and wagers against specific undisclosed individuals.”
There was a last minute event today, which is probably responsible for market movement.
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/taiwan-elections-former-president-ma-ying-jeou-exhorting-trust-in-xi-jinping-may-cost-kmt-in-final-stretch-of-campaign
@SanghyeonSeo yeah, let's confront Beijing, things have only become better in the 8 years the DPP has been in power /s
@SanghyeonSeo No that was just me being lazy and buying at volume despite the fact that I'd be overpaying.
@SanghyeonSeo The "market" here just means three or four traders lol. It's not enough liquidity to allow inferences like that. I'm pretty sure my trades alone had kept this below 70 until this week, and we'll find out soon if these were justified
@MP Why is this "in the bag"? I'm a big No holder but it's at best 50/50 for KMT because it may be tough to win over Ko voters who are young and generally anti-KMT.
@MP I have created twelve markets about the election, ten of which are still open and all of which are in the Taiwan group.
Would love for them to get more participation!
@MP fourteen now ;
The amount of invasion questions Vs other things (especially given how ad hoc many of them seem) really irks me too, but I think the solution is just to create more Taiwan questions of decent quality across a variety of topics