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Will anyone other than @memestiny be #1 on the Market Creator Leaderboard by the end of 2023?
13
Ṁ230Ṁ4.3k
resolved Apr 25
Resolved
YES

I think @IsaacKing and I are both on track to get really close. My guess is that at some point there will be a solid celebrity user base on this site, even if they are niche celebrities. Like I still think there is a really good chance SBF or Lex starts making markets. If anyone knows Scott Galloway he is a guaranteed power user. Galloway and Kara Swisher should really be the spokespersons.

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Can resolve

predictedYES

@NeonNuke no, it's about the end of 2023.

predictedYES

@firstuserhere or is it just reaching top by then? @BTE

@firstuserhere It's reaching it by then. So it resolves YES.

predictedYES

You think there's a good chance SBF will create a market here, but you haven't bet the market on it above 10%? ;)

predictedYES

@IsaacKing Dude, this is SBF, he isn't going to join and start using until he can get that alpha trading the question on whether or not he joins. Obviously that is the honeypot!!!

predictedYES

@BTE It's true, SBF is well-known for his highly successful trading strategies.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing at least he used to be...

predictedYES

@IsaacKing Why don't we, like, ask him to host a tournament about his own trial!!! Something about his behavior over the last few months make me think he will think its brilliant!! So worth trying...

predictedYES

@IsaacKing Or maybe we get Scarmucci to host it!

I already beat you to this one. :)

@IsaacKing Nice! So what do you think? Can we catch him??

predictedYES

@BTE Looks like you think so!!!

Yeah I think so. Memestiny is still riding the original wave of markets. There aren't that many new orbiters to create stocks on, and the old ones will reach saturation in the Destiny community.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing There really should be a separate leaderboard for stocks. The types of markets we make are very different. I mean sometimes we are silly, or you ask about things that will only resolve after we are long dead and unable to resolve reliably, but to call memestiny a market maker is a doesn't feel right.

predictedYES

@BTE They're branching out. :)

predictedYES

@IsaacKing Oh damn! Not at all surprised they would be into Andrew Tate. Also I see you have fully embraced they/them as universal pronouns and I commend you. It really is the only way you can never fuck it up, or at least can't be accused of fucking it up because at least you are giving minimal effort. I am trying to retrain myself too.

predictedYES

@BTE Well with Memestiny I legit have no idea what gender they are (though base rates imply male). When it's someone who does present as a clear one gender or the other I'll still often use gendered pronouns if I think doing otherwise would cause confusion or upset.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing I use he/they because I feel like it is only reasonable for everyone to explicitly accept the neutral pronoun. I have a close friend that is non-binary that got THEY and THEM tattooed on their fingers so you can't help but notice while talking to them. I think it is brilliant because it is like labeling the data for everybody to be retrained.