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@Joshua Why you buying NO?

Just woke up, read the question in the wrong direction 😅

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-co-defendant-head-black-voices-trump-denied-bail-will-remain-prison

@AdamTreat "Trump co-defendant, head of Black Voices for Trump denied bail and will remain in prison

Floyd was deemed a flight risk by the court and is the only co-defendant to not strike a bond agreement"

@AdamTreat I think this is the same as the Reuters report below, which has more details. It sounds like Richardson's decision isn't final, and McAfee will decide it. I'm unclear how this question will resolve in that case; if he's denied bail temporarily, and then later granted it, what's the resolution? @BTE can we get some info on that scenario?

@EvanDaniel sigh if this market resolves as anything but YES

The headline clearly says "denied bail"

@AdamTreat the resolution criteria never said anything about how long he has to be denied bail... only that he has to be denied it. he was.

Seems fair

@EvanDaniel The judges quotes in that Fox article make it seem to be a meaningful update. This will resolve YES even if temporary. This guy isn’t even trying to get bail.

@AdamTreat Do you know when the hearing was that the judge made that determination?

@BTE I believe it was Friday.

@EvanDaniel he protested to the judge and was not happy about it either apparently... so from his own viewpoint i'd say he was pretty clearly denied and held without bond

@AdamTreat I agree.

@AdamTreat I am still in awe of this guy for avoiding jail after beating up two FBI agents and saying he would have shot them if he had a gun.

@BTE pretty sure that will all be inadmissible in his trial here but maybe not at his sentencing?

@AdamTreat That was related to the Special Counsel investigation. They were trying to serve him. He was charged for it already in federal court.

@BTE yeah, i just mean the Fulton DA can't bring it up at his Fulton trial

@AdamTreat These defendants are a hoot! The fake electors claimed to be federal officials. This is gonna be so entertaining.

@BTE yes, see my market below asking if any of them is going to be successful in getting it moved to federal court!

@AdamTreat Mark Meadows is the only one with a chance in my opinion. If only he didn’t go down to observe the ballot counting he would probably be clear of charges. Trump has no chance because he was very clearly operating as a candidate and not as president.

@BTE generally agree, but I don't like Meadow's chances either. there was an amicus by several conservative judges, retired or not, and attorneys that seemed to go hard on the whole idea

@AdamTreat for Trump i can almost guarantee that they're going to rely upon some sort of non-delegation of executive authority doctrine and then hope that he'll be overturned on appeal by a conservative circuit when it is denied. Meadows response even says that the President has authority from the constitution to intervene/investigate/the georgia election so he can provide good info in his State of the Union to Congress which is an incredible stretch IMO.

I note that the response by Meadows did not push back on the DA's account that the trial can proceed even while the removal is pending. That's big.

https://manifold.markets/AdamTreat/will-any-of-the-19-defendants-in-fu

Kinda related

Will any of the 19 defendants in Fulton County Trump case be removed to federal court?

47% chance. https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/4162801-can-trumps-co-defendants-make-a-federal-case-out-of-the-georgia-indictment/ Several of Trump's co-defendents are already petitioning a federal court to remove the case. It is widely speculated that Trump himself will try. This question resolves YES iff any of them succeed and NO iff no defendent is successful in having the case removed to federal court. To be very clear, if someone starts cooperating, the case drops, they die, etc this will resolve NO. The only way it will resolve YES is if someone successfully convinces a federal judge to remove the case and for that removal to be upheld on all reviews.

Not sure if this counts, but I am betting a bit of yes in hopes that Harrison Floyd situation escalates further.

He was Denied Bond but is required to see the correct Judge since he has a charge pending with another Judge presiding over it.

https://www.reuters.com/legal/trump-co-defendant-smith-appear-atlanta-court-election-charges-2023-08-25/ August 25, 2023 5:17 PM EDT

Trump co-defendant remains in jail as others in Georgia case post bond

One of Donald Trump's co-defendants in a wide-ranging election-fraud case in Georgia remained behind bars on Friday, after Trump and the 17 others charged in the case had reported to jail and posted bond.

@SirCryptomind Your right!! I saw how he handled getting served by FBI agents and it was ugly! He ended up chasing them down the street!!! Good call.

@SirCryptomind he also says he's broke, but i guess this question is whether he will be denied bail altogether?

@AdamTreat Trump may be willing to post bail in this case. He sounds like he is hard core MAGA.

@AdamTreat The fact that he is broke is how you know he is a true believer.

@AdamTreat I am actually surprised you can assault FBI agents so bad they run away from you and you not have your bail denied automatically.