Who will be Time Magazine Person of the Year in 2022?
54
138
resolved Dec 7
99.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0.2%
Ukrainian People
0.0%
Nurses, doctors, first responders, essential workers
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Liz Cheney
0.0%
Kevin McCarthy
0.0%
Merrick Garland
0.2%
Xi Jinping
0.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin
0.0%
January 6 Commission
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
GeorgeVii
0.1%
SBF
0.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian People
0.0%
Clarence Thomas
0.1%
Elizabeth II
0.1%
Women protesters in Iran
0.0%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Market closes when Time announces their selection. Jun 15, 12:40am: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year
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answered
Supreme Court
bought Ṁ1

@BTE Shortlisted

answered
Janet Yellen
bought Ṁ1

@BTE Shortlisted

answered
Gun safety advocates
bought Ṁ1

@BTE Shortlisted

answered
Ron Desantis
bought Ṁ2

@BTE Shortlisted

answered
Elon Musk

@Duncan Shortlisted

answered
Women protesters in Iran

@kolotom99 Shortlisted

answered
Xi Jinping

@BTE Shortlisted

answered
Liz Cheney

@BTE She made shortlist

The shortlist has been announced and Xi Jinping is on it. Selection to be announced tomorrow on the TODAY Show. https://thehill.com/homenews/media/3762235-heres-who-is-on-times-2022-person-of-the-year-shortlist/

So is Elon Musk, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, MacKenzie Scott, protesters in Iran and a few more.

Liz Cheney

bought Ṁ15 of SBF

Btw, TIME gives also Person of The Year... Athlete, Businessman and Kid 😄

For general category, they also run (sometimes controversial) Readers' Poll: https://time.com/time-person-of-the-year-reader-poll-2022/

bought Ṁ1 of Elizabeth II

Market for next year:

related but at different value for Zelensky, and for Ukrainian People right now:

https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/who-will-the-time-person-of-the-yea

answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@Conflux But you are correct that he wouldn't have enough time to do anything. In fact, it might not even be sworn in until just before the new year.
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@Conflux It is definitely the most powerful person in the US in terms of their impact on the lives of Americans. The president is much more powerful on a global scale because that is the executive branch responsibility, but Nancy Pelosi is the most powerful American politician. All spending bills must originate in the House and the Speaker has absolute control over debate in the House, it is not shared with the minority like in the Senate, so not one cent can be spent by the US government without the Speaker's approval.
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
(which btw is probably not the most powerful position in America, though you could claim that)
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@BTE True. Isn’t that pretty late in the year, though? Not much time to do stuff after becoming speaker.
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@Conflux He can't really stand out until election day really because he is just the minority leader. If he becomes speaker he will be the most powerful person in America.
answered
Nurses, doctors, first responders, essential workers
Will the market resolve to this only if it’s this exact group, or anything of this flavor?
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@BTE Maybe. I feel like McCarthy hasn’t done much to stand out, though.
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@Conflux If GOP sweeps congress and Kevin McCarthy is Speaker he is a pretty good bet. That has been the case when such a flip took place in the past. And since he would be the obvious choice, I could see (and would encourage) them going with the Jan 6 Commission, depending on whether or not they continue to deliver the goods.
answered
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
@BTE Zelenskyy seems so high. Can’t think of a clear alternative, though.
answered
Elon Musk
Wow, Richard Nixon did it. He is the only one.
answered
Elon Musk
@Duncan Has anyone ever won two years in a row?