MANIFOLD
In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?
87
Ṁ2kṀ14k
2031
50%
Other
18%
2031
10%
2029
10%
2028
3%
2027
2%
2026
1.6%
Never
1.4%
2025

Resolves YES when an AI is chosen as person of the year.

Close date updated to 2030-12-31 11:59 pm

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@mods 2024 can resolve NO, thanks!

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Unfortunately it literally cannot. Dependent multiple choice markets can only resolve in their entirety; you can't resolve one option before the others. It's a frequently requested feature though!

/FlorisvanDoorn/when-will-manifold-markets-allow-us

Why is 2031 so popular

@121 2031 is gonna be my year

Looks like we might be in ambiguous territory for 2025.

Really wish I could short this

@bte, closes too early

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