By the end of 2022 will Iran announce successful enrichment of enough Uranium to assemble a nuclear warhead?
29
425Ṁ3745resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Iran makes a formal announcement that they have passed the threshold the Iranian Nuclear Agreement was intended to prevent and can credibly assemble their first nuclear warhead. Resolves NO if they don't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ196 | |
2 | Ṁ172 | |
3 | Ṁ88 | |
4 | Ṁ56 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran announce by June 4 that it has developed a nuclear weapons capability?
10% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
11% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
33% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
68% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
14% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
31% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
34% chance