Will any municipality in the United States implement a mask mandate by the end of 2023?
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285
แน€2.1K
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Clarification: This would apply to a general mask mandate like was commonly seen in 2020 and 2021 that applied to private businesses. Ones applying only to certain people such as government employees, in only specific government buildings or hospitals or just schools does not apply and will not resolve this YES.

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bought แน€83 of NO

Today is the last business day of the year. A few hospitals have issued mandates, and some counties have issued recommendations, but no municipality seems to have a mandate: https://www.newsweek.com/covid-19-mask-mandate-1856195 Looks like this market is headed for 0%

bought แน€305 of NO

As far as I can discover, no municipality has issued a mask mandate this year. Recent search and news trends show little interest/discussion of the idea, so I'm leaning a bit more No.

What about a land grant university which is specifically designated as a municipality within a State Constitution, has its own government, police force, everything...? Edge case

@PatrickDelaney that would depend on if it has its own elected government and permanent population.

bought แน€0 of YES

I'm surprised this blew up and is so high for yes. But I put a clarification in the description.

A mandate that applies only to government buildings or employees is not a general mandate and does not apply. Neither does a mandate only in schools, and school districts are not municipalities.

For an example that would resolve this YES, see Philadelphia's very brief one from last year. Despite its rescinding in just four days it would qualify: https://whyy.org/articles/philadelphia-reinstates-indoor-mask-mandate/

it's so nice of them to increase their risk of leaving the gene pool so those who protect themselves have an even better shot

@HenriThunberg Ummm who did the rating in that study? The Guardian article does not say; the study points out that the ratings were all done by college students.

https://cognitiveresearchjournal.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s41235-021-00351-9#Sec4

Why does this matter? Political polarization affects how people feel about masks; I would expect it to affect these attractiveness ratings too. I wonder if study participants were more pro-mask than average?

"Finally, participants showed high levels of agreement with the statements โ€œFace masks have become part of everyday life in the past yearโ€ (Mโ€‰=โ€‰4.62, SDโ€‰=โ€‰0.94) and โ€œThe use of face masks is effective in preventing the spread of COVID-19โ€ (Mโ€‰=โ€‰4.26, SDโ€‰=โ€‰0.89)."

Yes. On a scale of 1-5, I'd call this particular experimental group very pro-mask. I do not think these results mean what you think they mean.

predicted YES
predicted YES

Oakland, CA has reinstated a mask mandate for government buildings as of Dec 20, 2022: https://www.sfchronicle.com/eastbay/article/Oakland-reinstates-mask-mandate-in-government-17668056.php

predicted YES

Several school districts in Pennsylvania and New Jersey seem to have implemented mask mandates due to rising flu, Covid, and RSV cases. Specifically Philadelphia, Camden, NJ, and Paterson, NJ. https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2023/jan/3/students-philly-nj-resume-classes-under-covid-19-m/

How does this resolve if such a mandate has already been implemented before market creation?

@IsaacKing then it's not being implemented, it already exists and can only be implemented again if repealed.

predicted YES

@BRTD Just to clarify, would an indoor mask mandate count, if it has targeted exceptions, such as for restaurants?

@brp yes that would. Basically any type of mandate that would've been impossible to see in 2019 or earlier.

Will any municipality in the United States implement a mask mandate by the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition