This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
They predict it for every month for some reason, doomsday cults are hillarious, let's just make one market
Related questions
can somebody walk me through the reasoning here?
@CodeandSolder My guess is that they think Democrats are planning to have a lockdown close to the election so that more people will mail-in vote, since they think mail-in votes are used for voter fraud. As for why having one in the next three months would make that easier, who knows.
@JosephNoonan yeah, I got that part, I don't get the "in the next 3 months" part, is the idea to do a short test lockdown now, back out of it to build credibility and do another one in November? And prepare the mail-in ballots earlier, proving intent, I guess?
I'd be very grateful for trading on multiple options, those markets are expensive AF and for this series I can't even extract initial liquidity lol
@CodeandSolder I don't want to spend that much since it will be locked up forever if I'm right, so I'll give you some 1 mana bets