This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
They predict it for every month for some reason, doomsday cults are hillarious, let's just make one market
1,000People are also trading
can somebody walk me through the reasoning here?
@CodeandSolder My guess is that they think Democrats are planning to have a lockdown close to the election so that more people will mail-in vote, since they think mail-in votes are used for voter fraud. As for why having one in the next three months would make that easier, who knows.
@JosephNoonan yeah, I got that part, I don't get the "in the next 3 months" part, is the idea to do a short test lockdown now, back out of it to build credibility and do another one in November? And prepare the mail-in ballots earlier, proving intent, I guess?
I'd be very grateful for trading on multiple options, those markets are expensive AF and for this series I can't even extract initial liquidity lol
@CodeandSolder I don't want to spend that much since it will be locked up forever if I'm right, so I'll give you some 1 mana bets