When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
Mini
11
1.6k
2061
0.9%
September 2023
1%
October 2023
3%
Nov-Dec 2023
5%
Q1 2024
5%
Q2 2024
5%
Q3 2024
5%
Q4 2024
5%
H1 2025
5%
H2 2025
7%
2026
7%
2027
9%
2028-2030
8%
2031-2040
14%
2041-2060
24%
2061 or later

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

They predict it for every month for some reason, doomsday cults are hillarious, let's just make one market

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This is old linked binary so I cannot resolve single options, I'll place 1% limit orders though

can somebody walk me through the reasoning here?

@CodeandSolder My guess is that they think Democrats are planning to have a lockdown close to the election so that more people will mail-in vote, since they think mail-in votes are used for voter fraud. As for why having one in the next three months would make that easier, who knows.

@JosephNoonan yeah, I got that part, I don't get the "in the next 3 months" part, is the idea to do a short test lockdown now, back out of it to build credibility and do another one in November? And prepare the mail-in ballots earlier, proving intent, I guess?

I'd be very grateful for trading on multiple options, those markets are expensive AF and for this series I can't even extract initial liquidity lol

@CodeandSolder I don't want to spend that much since it will be locked up forever if I'm right, so I'll give you some 1 mana bets

@JosephNoonan for 2 months or so with loans lol
but for bonuses 1M is completely fine :D

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