The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) surveys the number of people who have ever used ketamine.

Will the NSDUH figure for 2030, when released, be above 10 million?

The market resolves YES if the NSDUH number of US adults (18+) in 2030 who have ever used ketamine, as reported by the National Survey on Drug Use and Health for that year, is more than 10.000 million.

If the NSDUH does not report figures, closest available government source will be used.

Usage stats:

2019: 3,801,000

2020: 3,917,000

2021: 4,485,000

See the NSDUH Detailed Tables for each corresponding year at https://www.samhsa.gov/data/all-reports

The data for each year may not be directly comparable as the NSDUH does change their survey methodology from year to year.

NSDUH's data on illicit drug usage is more detailed than legal drug usage. If there is legal usage of ketamine in 2030 that NSDUH doesn't cover, I will do my best to use respected sources such as ClinCalc.com to resolve this market.

The number reported by NSDUH, to the precision they use, will be used to determine the outcome.

Jan 31, 10:49pm: Will more than 10 million people aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes? → Will more than 10 million people aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes by 2030?

Jan 31, 10:49pm: Will more than 10 million people aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes by 2030? → In 2030, will more than 10 million people aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes?

Jan 31, 10:56pm: In 2030, will more than 10 million people aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes? → In 2030, will more than 10 million people in the US aged 18+ have tried ketamine in their lifetimes?