Will more than 1 in 5 US adults use marijuana in a typical month of 2030?
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1kṀ12982030
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The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) surveys the proportion of adults aged 18 or older who have used marijuana in the last 30 days.
Will the NSDUH figure for 2030, when released, be above 20.0%?
The market resolves YES if the NSDUH percentage of adults aged 18 or older who have used marijuana in the last 30 days for 2030 is more than 20.0%, and resolves NO otherwise.
Usage stats:
2018: 10.5%
2019: 11.9%
2020: 12.4%
2021: 13.7%
See the NSDUH Detailed Tables for each corresponding year at https://www.samhsa.gov/data/all-reports
The data for each year may not be directly comparable as the NSDUH does change their survey methodology from year to year.
I'll endeavor to close the market after the figure has been posted on the NSDUH website.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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